5.3.2025

🏒 Private Equity = Operational Excellence

βœ”οΈ Solves known problems more efficiently
βš™οΈ Leverages process, scale, and execution
πŸ“‰ Low risk, steady reward β†’ Option 1
πŸ‘₯ Investor Types: Private Equity Funds, Growth Equity, Family Offices, Corporate Development

πŸš€ Venture Capital (95%) = New Problem Hunters

πŸ’‘ Backs ideas the world didn’t know it needed
🎯 Risk = product-market fit & early adoption
πŸ“ˆ High upside, high failure β†’ Option 2
πŸ‘₯ Investor Types: Early-stage VC, Seed Funds, Angel Investors, Accelerators

🌌 Venture Capital (5%) = Frontier Chasers

🧠 Tackles big, obvious, hard problems
πŸ”¬ Requires breakthroughs in tech, physics, policy
🌠 Rare, bold bets β†’ Option 3 (Elon Musk zone)
πŸ‘₯ Investor Types: Deep Tech VC, Gov-aligned Capital, Billionaires, Mission-Driven LPs


πŸ’‘ The Tech Wealth Explosion: 2010 vs 2025

  • In 2010, only 2 tech companies β€” Apple and Microsoft β€” were in the Top 10 market cap list globally.
  • In 2025, it’s flipped: now there are only 2 non-tech companies in the Top 10.

πŸš€ Software: The 10x Mega Tailwind

  • The software market has 10x’d over the last 15 years.
  • This is the megatrend that VCs, Bay Area founders, and employees have ridden β€” perhaps the strongest tailwind in modern economic history.

🌁 Bay Area vs Seattle: Wealth Surge (2010–>2025)

  • Bay Area market cap:
    From $250B β†’ $10T
  • Seattle Area market cap:
    From $300B β†’ $5T

The wealth effect from this growth is staggering β€” a complete reshaping of local economies, housing, and talent flows.

πŸ¦„ VC Landscape: 2010 vs 2025

  • In 2010, a $5B VC exit was nearly unheard of.
  • Today, there are hundreds of unicorns, and $5B exits barely raise eyebrows.

Leave a comment